Worth the trip? The effect of hospital clinic closures for patients undergoing scheduled surgery

Recent decades' hospital closures and consolidations have been rationalized with reference to arguments of efficiency and quality returns to scale and scope. However, closures are met with public outcry from patients living in areas affected by such closures if accompanying increases in travel time are not offset by a higher quality of care. It is broadly established that increases in patients' travel time to acute care lower the probability of survival, but in non-acute and scheduled care we lack knowledge about the quality of care that patients living in closure-affected areas receive.In the non-acute setting of scheduled breast cancer surgery, this study examines how hospital clinic closures affect the quality of care that closure-affected patients receive. The effects are identified using closures of breast cancer clinics in Denmark from 2000 to 2011, during which time the number of clinics was more than halved. Using event study designs on population-wide Danish register data from 1996 to 2014, this study examine changes in surgical outcomes for 9790 patients living in municipalities where the nearest clinic has been closed. The results show that closures have reduced the number of hospitalization days and shifted surgical procedures to state-of-the-art breast-conserving techniques without generating adverse health effects and without causing crowding in non-closing clinics. An examination of the mechanisms suggests that added volume returns at non -closing clinics were of less importance than simply reallocating patients to higher-quality clinics.Closures of clinics performing scheduled surgery may be an effective policy instrument if the goal is to reduce variation in the delivery of hospital care. Increased access to state-of-the-art care may counterbalance patients' concerns of losing their local clinic. However, if the clinics to be closed are small compared to non-closing clinics then there is no potential for added economies of scale or scope in non-closing clinics.